idle intelligence
t0-web
t0-alpha and t0-beta, quantized to 4 or 8 bit, forecasting one series in your browser; WebGPU when available, otherwise CPU
idle intelligence
t0-alpha and t0-beta, quantized to 4 or 8 bit, forecasting one series in your browser; WebGPU when available, otherwise CPU
US births per day, July to November 1988. Drag the origin to choose where the model forecasts from.
Inside band: days whose real value fell within the 10–90% range; a well-calibrated band catches about 26 of 32. CRPS: error of the whole probabilistic forecast, in births per day, lower is better. Vs weekly naive: error relative to repeating last week; below 1 beats it.